Week 8 Anytime TD Picks
14 games · 88 players priced · best posted price, updated Oct 28, 10:00 AM ET
Every player with an Anytime Touchdown price this week, ranked by our model's chance they score at least once. The ranking weighs backfield role and red-zone work, the opponent's touchdowns allowed to the position, and the points a team is expected to score from its spread and total. Players priced above +400 are longshots and stay off this list — they are still on the board for parlays.
- 1Javonte WilliamsRBDAL vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET69.7%DK -280
- 2Derrick HenryRBBAL vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET67.0%FD -230
- 3Jahmyr GibbsRBDET vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET62.8%FD -290
- 4James CookRBBUF vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET58.3%FD -160
- 5Kyren WilliamsRBLA vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET55.7%DK -160
- 6Bucky IrvingRBTB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET54.7%DK -130
- 7Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC vs DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET52.8%FD -145
- 8CeeDee LambWRDAL vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET52.4%DK +100
- 9Bijan RobinsonRBATL vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET51.2%DK -180
- 10Aaron JonesRBMIN vs DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET50.2%FD +105
- 11Chuba HubbardRBCAR vs GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET50.0%FD -115
- 12Puka NacuaWRLA vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET49.8%DK -150
- 13Rhamondre StevensonRBNE vs MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ET49.2%FD -130
- 14Bhayshul TutenRBJAX vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET49.1%DK -105
- 15Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET48.6%FD -110
How these picks are made
The model starts from each player's carries, targets and red-zone touches over recent weeks, adjusts for the matchup and stadium, then checks its answer against the sportsbook price. A pick only appears here when the model's chance to score beats the chance the price implies.
See the record
Every pre-kickoff pick we have saved is graded and published — wins and losses both, with the price taken and profit in units.
